Friday, April 23, 2010

KNM, Buy Opportunity


KNM, a company which involved in oil and gas industry, trading between 0.595 to 0.605 today. A broking house said it is a buying opportunity if the price below 0.60.

Price per book value (PBV)  is 1.32 times and average ROE (from 2004 to 2008) was 25%. Investment experts say good buy if PBV below 1.5 times and ROE above 15%.

From my point of view, buy for investment....

- Sabri Jalil

Monday, April 19, 2010

Nak Beli Saham, Mana Satu Yang Betul?


“Ada yang kata beli saham bila harga tengah naik, ada yang kata beli bila harga turun. Mana satu yang betul ni?”

Itulah pertanyaan dari salah seorang yang baru kenal dalam satu majlis. Beliau memang berhajat mahu melabur dalam pasaran saham tetapi soalan yang bermain dikepalanya selama ini membuatkan beliau menagguhkan niatnya.

Soalan beliau itu amat bagus dan biarlah penerangannya kita kongsi dalam blog ini.

Samada anda membeli ketika harga tengah menaik atau ketika turun, ia bergantung kepada siapakah diri anda.


Adakah anda mahukan keuntungan lebih cepat tetapi perlu menghadapi risiko yang lebih tinggi?

Jika ya maka anda boleh membeli ketika harga sedang meningkat dan menjual ketika harga lebih tinggi. Ia dipanggil sebagai strategi momentum. Anda perlu mempunyai displin yang tinggi jika ingin mengamalkan strategi ini. Sikap tamak perlu dijauhi.

Adakah anda seorang yang sabar dengan tidak mengharapkan keuntungan yang sangat cepat tetapi kurang berisiko?

Jika ya, maka anda perlu membeli saham ketika harga jatuh dan menjualnya ketika harga sedang meningkat. Strategi ini dipanggil sebagai kontrarian. Kontrarian bermaksud bertentangan iaitu membeli ketika ramai pelabur menjualnya (yang menyebabkan kejatuhan harga) dan menjual ketika ramai pelabur membeli (yang membuatkan harga meningkat). Strategi ini mempunyai risiko yang lebih rendah (tetapi tidak bermakna tiada risiko) dan ia diamalkan oleh pelabur terkemuka dunia iaitu Warren Buffet dan John Templeton.

Untuk makluman John Templeton telah membeli saham-saham tujuh syarikat penerbangan Amerika Syarikat yang jatuh menjunam semasa peristiwa September 11 dan meraih keuntungan berbilion dollar seminggu selepas itu akibat harganya meningkat mendadak selepas kerajaan AS mengumumkan subsidi kepada 7 syarikat penerbangan tersebut.

Dengan kata lain, kenali diri anda dan tetapkan objektif anda agar anda mengamalkan strategi yang bersuaian.

-  Sabri Jalil.

Friday, April 9, 2010

Muhibbah Engineering, Signal Appears


Buy signal for Muhibbah Engineering based on below technical indicators;
SMA
  • 20-day MA (green line) has crossed 50-day MA (red line). It is buy signal
  • Price moving above both 20-day MA and 50-day MA – showing moving uptrend

SLOW STOCHASTIC
  • Both Stoch %D (green line) and Stoch %K (blue line) moving uptrend where blue line (%K) always moving above green line (%D) à indicating uptrend movement.

MACD
  • MACD line (blue bar)has crossed signal line (green line) à good buy signal
Conclusion is good for buy....


- Sabri Jalil

Wednesday, January 13, 2010

Share Price Of Rubber Glove On The Way Up

Most of research houses are bullish on rubber glove sector as global demand is increasing from 8-10 percent.

TopGlove has recently announced to acquire some companies in this region as part of expansion program.

Latexx will have JV with Ducth company to operate plant and distribute product for Europe market. They will produce protein-free glove for medical usage.

Kossan will increase their output by 20%.

Due to rising demand all over the world, share price of glove companies were increasing and the target price as reported below;

Company Target price Current price

Adventa 5.44 4.24

Harta 11.24 7.34

Latexx 5.44 4.84

Supermax 7.96 6.09

TopGlove 15.9 11.76

We optimistic that, while the price moving to achive the target, the profit taking will take place thus will temporarily push down the price. Investor can take this opportunity to buy and sell when rebound if you can’t wait the price to meet the target.

- Sabri Jalil

Tuesday, December 1, 2009

Opportunity Behind The Dubai Financial Crisis


Dubai financial crisis has affected our stock market on 30 November 2009. Counter related to Dubai project were affected. What is advise of OSK on the said counters. Read the article below;


Good time to buy shares of contractors: OSK

THE recent share price retracement of Malaysian contractors should provide a good chance to accumulate, said OSK Research.

OSK, in its research note, said it expected a continuous positive news flow fuelled by more domestic contract awards with the Low-Cost Carrier Terminal project the first to take off with the earthworks package awards.


"We see the recent share price pullback as an excellent opportunity to accumulate and will retain the 'Overweight' stance on the construction sector," it said.


OSK said share prices of Malaysian contractors had declined in the past week on interest rate increase and currency devaluation in Vietnam as well as the Dubai's debt issue.

It said among the counters affected were Gamuda Bhd, which fell by 9.7 per cent, IJM Corp Bhd (3 per cent), WCT Bhd (6.3 per cent) and Mudajaya Group Bhd (8.6 per cent).

OSK said the rate increase and currency devaluation were likely to weaken sentiment in the Vietnamese property market in the short term.

"However, we believe long-term prospects in the Vietnamese property market will remain positive, underpinned by the nation''s robust gross domestic product," OSK said.

It said the Dubai issue would not impact Malaysian contractors much given the minimal exposure, with only IJM undertaking a RM126 million contract for the Fortune Executive office towers.

"Meanwhile, WCT-Arabtec joint venture is undergoing arbitration, which is expected to be completed by end-2010, with Meydan LLC in Dubai for the Meydan Racecource termination," it said.

OSK said LCL, however, was highly exposed as it has 85 per cent of its orderbook exposed to Dubai. -- Bernama

Friday, November 20, 2009

Hai-O Is Profit Taking, Good To Buy


Hai-O which involve in medicine business is expected to hit RM8.80 as their business is expanding to Indonesia. Profit taking aktivities happening today which propel Hai-O to lowest. Be contrarian for this stock is better to reap profit. By the way read the report from Theedgedaily.com as below:

KUALA LUMPUR: Shares of Hai-O Enterprise extended their losses in late afternoon trade on Friday, Nov 20, falling to a five-week low of RM6.93.

At 3.23pm, the shares were down 27 sen to RM6.93, the lowest since Oct 15.

On Thursday, the shares fell 46 sen, the biggest one-day loss in recent weeks, as investors started taking profit after the run-up in the share price.

Hai-O is a manufacturer and wholesaler of traditional herbal and pharmaceutical products.

In late October, a local research house increased the indicative fair value for Hai-O to RM8.80 from RM6.80, based on higher price-to-earnings ratio (PER) of nine times CY2010 earnings per share (versus eight times CY2010 earnings oer share previously).

This is a 38% discount to the research house's target PER for the consumer sector of 14.5 times due to its smaller market capitalisation as well as low liquidity.

The higher PER target, the research house said, was to reflect increased investor participation in mid-cap stocks,a lower risk premium and improved market sentiment.

Thursday, November 12, 2009

Buy Share Now - Warren Buffet


You might know who is Warren Buffet. He is a greatest stock market investor in the world. He also one of the richest man in the world. What he said about current the stock market? Can we invest? Read the article below;

The world's richest men say go buy stocks, global economic panic is over

Buy attractive stocks, they say

NEW YORK: Capitalism is still alive and well, say the world's two richest men, despite lingering shocks from the longest, deepest recession since the Great Depression.

"The financial panic is behind us," said famed investor Warren Buffett, who recently made what he called an "all-in wager" on the U.S. economy by acquiring railroad Burlington Northern Santa Fe.

"The bottom has come in stocks. Don't pass on something that's attractive today."

Sitting facing each other in an auditorium filled with nearly 1,000 cheering people at Columbia University in New York, the CEO of Berkshire Hathaway Inc. and Microsoft founder Bill Gates fielded questions from Columbia Business School students on the recession, investing and what's the next Microsoft.

There were at first reassurances that the U.S. economy had not collapsed since the last time the two sat in front of a student audience, in Nebraska in 2005.

"We proved that we can make mistakes," said Gates.

"But the fundamentals of the system, a marketplace-driven system where we invest in education and a great infrastructure for the long-term, that's continued."

Even in the country's "darkest hour," he said, American businesses were still innovating.

"Last fall was really blindsiding," Buffett said later.

Still, "I did not worry about the overall survival of our economy."

The worst recession since the 1930s may be over, but the recovery isn't expected to be strong enough to stem job losses and get businesses hiring again.

Employers shed a net total of 190,000 jobs in October, a government survey showed Thursday.

It was the 22nd straight month of losses.

And the unemployment rate jumped last month to 10.2 percent, a 26-year high.

Buffett also commended the Bush administration's actions last September, saying "only the government could have saved things" after the collapse of Lehman Brothers triggered a freeze-up in credit markets and panic on Wall Street.

In the future, however, Buffett said "there should be more downside to the head of any institution that has to go to the federal government to be saved for reasons of the greater society. And so far, we have been better at carrots and sticks in rewarding CEOs at the top. But I think some more sticks are called for."

The two endeared themselves to the audience with tips.

Buffett exhorted students to "marry the right person" and said, "The worst investment you can have is cash."

Gates, meanwhile, said he sees big opportunities in environmentally friendly energy and medicine.

"Capitalism is great," he said.

Gates wore a suit and tie, flashing the inner red lining of his jacket as he walked to his chair. Buffett, who earned a master's degree from Columbia in 1951, wore a sweater with the Columbia insignia.

Students in the audience said they were glad the two were so confident about the economy.

"That probably weighs a lot to a lot of people to hear Buffett say we're out of the crisis," said Andrea Basche, an Earth Institute student at Columbia. – AP

http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?file=/2009/11/13/business/20091113074426&sec=business